L’ère des modèles de croissance tirés par l’industrialisation et les exportations manufacturières est-elle derrière nous ? Si l’on en croit Dani Rodrik, professeur à Harvard (a), ce serait effectivement le cas. Est-ce à dire que les pays d’Afrique, seul continent à ne pas avoir expérimenté ce type d’expansion rapide, sont voués à ne pas connaître les mêmes phénomènes de miracle économique dont ont bénéficié il n’y a encore pas longtemps les pays d’Asie de l’Est et, en particulier, la Chine ?
Is the era of industrialization and manufacturing exports growth miracles – a period of rapid economic growth exceeding expectations, last seen in East Asian countries, most notably in China – over? If you listen to Harvard’s Dani Rodrik, the answer seems to be: pretty much! Does that mean, Africa, the only continent which hasn’t seen rapid export-led manufacturing growth, would not have many growth miracle stories?
Kenya is one of the countries that did not achieve the Millennium Development Goal (MDG) for increasing access to water and sanitation. Only 30% of Kenyans have access to improved sanitation, that is, the use of sanitation facilities that hygienically separate excreta from human contact. This means that approximately 30 million Kenyans are still using unsafe sanitation methods like rudimentary types of latrines, and almost six million are defecating in the open.
Since the Edelman company began tracking trust with its Trust Barometer, never has the world seen such an “implosion of trust.” In 2017, two-thirds of countries fell into “distruster” territory with trust levels of below 50 percent. Governments are now distrusted by investors in 75 percent of countries, and the same is the case for business in 46 percent.
Despite much progress over the last two decades, girls still have lower levels of educational attainment on average than boys at the secondary school level in Uganda. In part this is because many girls are married or have children before the age of 18—often before they are physically and emotionally ready to become wives and mothers. Educating girls, ending child marriage, and preventing early childbearing is essential for girls to have agency, as future wives and mothers, and for Uganda to reach its full development potential.
Six years after independence, South Sudan remains one of the world’s most fragile states, unable to emerge from cycles of violence. About half the population—that is, about 6 million of 12 million people—are food insecure. A famine was declared in February 2017. And though the famine was contained (thanks to massive humanitarian support), food insecurity remains at extremely high levels.
About 2 million South Sudanese have fled the country and another 1.9 million are internally displaced. The economy is estimated to have contracted by 11 percent in the past fiscal year, due to conflict, low oil production, and disruptions to agriculture. The fiscal deficit, inflation, and parallel market premium have all soared.
This macroeconomic collapse has crushed the livelihoods of many South Sudanese.
A year ago, if you had asked me how best a child could reach its potential, I would have looked through my myopic, public health, physician’s lens, and responded that making sure children (0-5years) are healthy and well-nourished is all it takes.
However, six months into the World Bank’s “Africa Early Years” fellowship and I realize I would have been abysmally wrong.
« Dites-moi où vous vivez, et je vous dirai quelles sont vos chances de succès dans la vie. »
Le niveau de bien-être varie-t-il fortement d’une région à l’autre ?
Je ne suis pas devin, mais je sais que le lieu de résidence est le meilleur indicateur pour mesurer le bien-être futur d’un individu. Un enfant qui voit le jour au Togo aujourd’hui vivra probablement 20 ans de moins qu’un enfant né aux États-Unis. En outre, le Togolais gagnera nettement moins d’argent que l’Américain, le premier touchant moins de 3 % du revenu du second.
“Tell me where you live, and I can predict how well you’ll do in life.”
Does welfare vary largely across space?
Although I don’t have a crystal ball, I do know for a fact that location is an excellent predictor of one’s welfare. Indeed, a child born in Togo today is expected to live nearly 20 years less than a child born in the United States. Moreover, this child will earn a tiny fraction—less than 3%—of what his or her American counterpart will earn.
Au lendemain de la crise financière mondiale de 2008, la principale préoccupation des responsables des politiques publiques fut d’améliorer l’accès aux financements des projets d’infrastructure. Mais l’on a depuis compris que le problème le plus épineux n’est pas le manque de fonds disponibles mais plutôt la gouvernance du secteur.