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Submitted by Nachiket Mor on
Dear Dr. Cincotta, I think it is indeed insightful that these countries have been showing secular declines. But, while I am no expert in this, it is my understanding that as the rates get lower further declines get to be harder to achieve and that for each decrease of 10% different factors are responsible. Many Indian States for example are "bottoming out" having reach the magic number of 50 IMR because the steps needed now are very different. Work that we supported in Bombay (where IMR is below 30) failed to produce impact when identical work had produced some very dramatic impact in regions with IMR of 50 plus. Sincerely, Nachiket Mor