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Submitted by CAA on

I'm not really a fußball fan, though I watched this particular game. What I can draw from the blog post though, is the analogy. The Kenyan demographics are indeed the mirror image of Germany's. The Jubilee Government seems to realise the importance of the youth and how they could take Kenya to middle income status by the year 2030. However, the previous Government adopted some policies that seem to be very short term. While dual citizenship is now available, to even get dual citizenship you need to live and work in Kenya for seven years. However, work permits are only granted to people over the age of 35. This poses two problems. First, while I acknowledge that this policy was implemented in good faith, so that the majority youth population have in the first instance a chance at very scarce formal labour jobs, it is only by allowing outside influence that innovation floruishes in the formal sector, so the benefits from openness here would not be realised. But this policy locks out young innovative minds! Second, in 50 years Kenya will face the exact same problem as Germany is facing now - this points to the short term policies/preparation. What happens then? Is simply changing the policy going to be enough? Perhaps research to determine if the benefits of the no-work-permit-below-35 policy outweighs the benefits of innovation and externalities from loss of this group of immigrants into Kenya could tell us if the policy works. However, I think past evidence, as well as the very nicely put football analogy, says that in the long run openness is good for an economy.
Gruße aus Mainz