The World Bank - Working for a world free of poverty

Open Forum Gender: Getting to Equal

World Development Report 2012

Arab World: A New Social Contract

February 2009

Fridays Academy: Technology and Growth

As usual on Fridays, based on Raj Nallari and Breda Griffith's lecture notes.

 

Information and Communication Technology

Information and Communication Technology (ICT) is now the main technological driver for productivity growth in a number of developing countries. According to a study by the Centre for Economic Policy Research, a country which has reached a level of mobile phone penetration of 10 percent of the population adds 0.59 percent to its GDP per capita growth rate. Furthermore, strong empirical evidence suggests that investment in ICT improves competitiveness (see figure below).  Investment in higher education is shown to strongly boosts competitiveness, partly through allowing better use of ICT. Hence, investments in human capital and ICT are key components of recent growth performance in several developing countries.

 

The Global Competitiveness Index

China and Taiwan launch a two-way postal remittance service

China launched a two-way postal remittance service with Taiwan earlier this week. The Chinese daily Xinhua reports that this was the first formal money transfer from the mainland to Taiwan since 1949. 
 
While people in mainland China would be able to receive inward remittances in some 20,000 post offices, outward remittances would be available at over 2,000 post offices. The Taiwan post office has already offered such a service since December.
 
The cost to send money is 8 percent of the transfer amount for sending up to 200 Yuan from mainland China to Taiwan, and for the other way around, a fixed fee of 400 new Taiwan dollars (about $12) for a mail transfer.

Apart from being a historic moment for migrants on both sides of the Straits, this step shows how postal networkswhich have perhaps the widest reach among the population, especially in rural areascan play an important role in facilitating formal cross-border remittance flows.       

Another OLPC complaint

OLPC is looking for college students to take on summer internships setting up XO laptops in Africa. Chris Blattman is not impressed:

One thing is for sure, this kind of internship strains my patience. $10,000 for 10 weeks of work delivering laptops? (1) That's 100 laptops right there; (2) $10,000 goes a LONG way in Rwanda; and (3) this strikes me as a job an African would benefit from doing.

Cyberabad Dreams ...

spotlight on Hyderabad | image from Azgar Khan used according to terms of its CC license, see below for infoHow do you develop the skills in your workforce necessary to compete in dynamic, fast-moving sectors of the global economy?  I just returned from India, where I joined colleagues from Africa in a series of site visits, learning events and presentations in the Indian IT hubs of Mumbai, Hyderabad and Bangalore in seeking answers to this (and related) questions.  More specifically, the trip provided a rich opportunity to learn more about the 'India success story' of the last 20 years in the areas of IT, IT-enabled services and business process outsourcing (BPO), gathering policy and practice lessons of potential relevance and application to Africa.  In many countries, including many African countries, proposals for the widespread introduction of computers in schools is explicitly tied to goals to develop so-called 'knowledge workers' to work in nascent IT industries. How explicit is this link in reality?

Mobile banking takes WING in Cambodia

Wing One of the enterprises that IFC has been working with in Cambodia is WING, a subsidiary of the Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ). In late January, WING launched a mobile payments business that targets unbanked customers. Last week, I had the opportunity to visit WING’s offices, meet their team, participate in their rollout, and travel to remote areas to visit agent locations. I was impressed by the high energy and creativity of WING’s staff, their incredible progress in a relatively short period of time, their willingness to adapt to new lessons quickly, and the unique aspects of their solution. 

WING’s USSD-based service will allow customers to save, make purchases, transfer money to both WING and non-WING users, and perform a range of other financial services – all through mobile phones. Since WING account numbers do not have to be tied to a customer’s mobile phone number, the service is also available to people who do not own phones. In a country like Cambodia, this feature is extremely important because a large percentage of the population still does not own mobile phones but have easy access via family and friends.

Prior to designing their product, WING performed extensive market research to ensure that they understood the target market and its financial needs. The resultant service was developed in response to those findings. Product development occurred over a 9-month period during which the company performed iterative testing and redesign, mapping their solution closer and closer to the needs of the market.

Media Strengthening: Taking Politics Seriously - 2

I promised in the previous post on this topic to offer a way of taking internal political processes seriously as we seek to strengthen media systems around the world. As many of you will know, one major preoccupation of CommGAP's is to seek a deeper understanding of how to tackle some of the people-related or adaptive challenges that often bedevil efforts to improve governance systems in developing countries.  Therefore, the starting point of this perspective is the conviction that if you want to strengthen the media system in Gugu Republic as one of the fundamental institutions of that country, your effort  is like any other attempt to reform governance systems.

Implications of the "buy American" clause for trade policy in African countries

President Obama on February 17 signed the $787 billion Stimulus package into law. The package is aimed at stimulating production in the US as well as job creation. However, it includes the following clause: 

SEC. 1605. USE OF AMERICAN IRON, STEEL, AND MANUFACTURED GOODS
(a) None of the funds appropriated or otherwise made available by this Act may be used for a project for the construction, alteration, maintenance, or repair of a public building or public work unless all of the iron, steel, and manufactured goods used in the project are produced in the United States.
(b) Subsection (a) shall not apply in any case or category of cases in which the head of the Federal department or agency involved finds that—(1) applying subsection (a) would be inconsistent with the public interest;(2) iron, steel, and the relevant manufactured goods are not produced in the United States in sufficient and reasonably available quantities and of a satisfactory quality; or(3) inclusion of iron, steel, and manufactured goods produced in the United States will increase the cost of the overall project by more than 25 percent.
(c) If the head of a Federal department or agency determines that it is necessary to waive the application of subsection (a) based on a finding under subsection (b), the head of the department or agency shall publish in the Federal Register a detailed written justification as to why the provision is being waived.
(d) This section shall be applied in a manner consistent with United States obligations under international agreements.

One childhood

Rarely do we come across a video that is visually beautiful, intellectually stimulating and emotionally inspiring.  “One childhood” is a documentary about how schools and schoolteachers in Eritrea are part of the campaign to improve children’s health.  Based on the actual findings of two thorough technical evaluations that showed the wide coverage and effectiveness of the Eritrea programs, the film tells the story of how school health is now being delivered in the mountains of Eritrea, in the arid lands of the Red Sea coast and in urban Asmara.  Available on YouTube, where it has been seen by 14,000 people in a month—probably 13,980 more than read the two technical reports—the film has won the CINE Golden Eagle award.  It can also be viewed here.

Truth in advertising:  The film’s executive producer, Don Bundy, is a colleague and may be a distant cousin of mine [don’t ask!].

What happens when your wealth disappears?

What happens when your wealth disappears?
   Photo © Ray Witlin/World Bank

The latest data on home prices in the US is pretty dismal. According to the Case–Schiller index, home prices fell by 18.5 % from December 2007 to December 2008 – the largest drop in record. Add the jump in unemployment figures in recent months and we have a bleak outlook.

But what do the housing and labor market in the US have to do with the changing climate? Nothing, at first glance. But the sudden loss in wealth and income is similar to what other asset owners experience in less fortunate parts of the world, where climate change is a threat to well being. Cattle herders and farmers who depend on rainfall often experience a dramatic fall in their assets –typically bullocks or goats- after a drought. The sudden lack of resources when rainfall is low forces them to sell their surviving cattle, pushing their prices down and sending whole communities into destitution.

Skoll Awards Application Deadline Next Week!

I wanted to remind you that the application deadline for the Skoll Awards for Social Entrepreneurship are fast approaching - March 3, 2009.  In case you're not yet ready to apply, there is a second deadline on August 12.

Underrated Indonesia poised to enter global stage

Indonesia is still underrated globally. Why does the world not notice? One reason is particularly poor performance in sports and higher education, two areas that give countries a lot of international exposure.

Five years ago I went on my first professional trip to Indonesia.  I had just joined the World Bank’s Indonesia Country Team and also prepared for the relocation of my family later that year. My wife was very concerned moving to Jakarta. At that time, Indonesia was associated with the Bali and Marriott bombings, the beginning of bird flu, and memories of the political chaos after the departure of Soeharto were still present.

Today, my wife does not want to leave Indonesia anymore.  What happened?
 
Indonesia recovered – and it recovered strongly. However, I truly believe that Indonesia is still underrated globally. During the past decade, Indonesia has embarked on one of the most ambitious political and economic transitions ever witnessed in any large country in recent history. According to Freedom House, Indonesia is entering a year of multiple national elections – both legislative and presidential – as Southeast Asia’s strongest democracy.

Blogging for pro-poor climate adaptation series: I. Nailing down pro-poor adaptation

[Originally posted at the Development Marketplace Blog]

Nailing down pro-poor adaptation
   Photo © Planinternationalty

We hear that climate changes – ongoing and those to come – are hitting the poor the hardest and the soonest. So what can we do about that?

Well, adapting to climate change is such an abstract and wide-reaching concept I find it sometimes hard to nail down. How do you actually adapt, especially if you are poor and struggling to put food on the table and send your children to school? I find myself wondering what are the ideas that can help poor people cope with harsh weather?

The Power of a Powerful Network

Many people ask me how to get involved in international organizations like the UN, the World Bank and other large NGOs, and my answer is simple - networking!

Networking has become a buzzword in recent years and grown in popularity as an effective way of getting jobs in the West, but what countless people dont realize is that networking is an art; it's a process. Relationships must be cultivated and then sustained when one networks. The concept is simple, yet its practice is difficult.

An up-close look at rebuilding after disaster

For most of us, when a disaster happens in a far away place, we only get brief glimpses of the immediate aftermath and subsequent recovery efforts – often only through news media or occasionally close-by bloggers. During four years of reconstruction after the devastating tsunami that hit the Indonesian province of Aceh in 2004, few have seen the rebuilding process like those who are part of the recovery efforts.

The Multi-Donor Fund (MDF), which is managed by the World Bank with contributions and guidance from 15 other international donor partners, continues to work on the ground in Aceh and Nias. The reconstruction has been extremely successful, with more than 100,000 new houses constructed, more than 90,000 hectares of agricultural land restored and 2,500 kilometers of road built. In late 2008, the MDF held a photo competition for people involved with projects or agencies related to reconstruction. The resulting pictures are not professionally created, but they give a beautifully close and comprehensive view of the rebuilding of Aceh.


(Hover your mouse over "Notes" to see information about each photo)

Many of the pictures were featured in the Multi-Donor Fund 2008 Progress Report, which can be found at the MDF website. You can also see the photos at our Flickr page.

Global Dialogues as a Response to the Global Economic Crisis: New Webpage

The video recordings of the third and fourth discussions in this series are now available.

We have also created a new webpage for the Global Dialogues series, where you can access all the specific discussions and more background information on the Global Economic Crisis. We will be adding new sessions to that webpage as they take place, more or less monthly.

Moving away from home... and away from poverty?

Finding routes out of poverty remains a key issue for households and policy makers alike. A long term vision of development in Africa and elsewhere suggests that poverty reduction is associated with intergenerational mobility out of rural areas and agriculture, and into urban non-agricultural settings. To respond to new economic opportunities, people must be geographically mobile. Constraints to their movement may in fact impede economic growth.

In a recent working paper, we studied the link between physical movement and economic growth, by re-surveying 4,400 people in 2004 from the Kagera region of Tanzania who were first surveyed in 1991. We found that the returns to within-country migration are very high: consumption growth among migrants was 36 percentage points higher than among those who remained in their baseline villages.

Is this growth gap because the migrants are somehow ‘different’, perhaps more productive, than those who stay? The evidence says no, it isn’t. Moreover, while moving out of agriculture and out of remote areas is a winning strategy, we found that migration leads to economic growth for those who don’t change sectors, and, surprisingly, even for those who move to more remote areas!  Just the act of moving – presumably in part a response to economic opportunities – is important.

So why don’t more people move if economic returns to geographic mobility are so high? A number of crucial social constraints might be at work. For example, younger people with weaker household ties, unmarried and male, have more freedom to take advantage of opportunities. What is acceptable or safe for a young man might be unacceptable and jeopardize marriage possibilities for a young woman. Heads of households or their spouses also find it harder to move.

Zimbabwe’s economic crisis: will adopting foreign currency help to increase remittance flows through formal channels?

Zimbabwe's government recently announced a partial dollarization, declaring the U.S dollar and other foreign currencies as legal tender alongside the Zimbabwean dollar in its efforts to fight a crippling hyper-inflation (after announcing the launch of a 100 trillion Zimbabwean dollar note in January). This measure could make remittance transfers more visible.  These have been often sent through unofficial channels so far, the result of a large parallel market premium since the official exchange rate has lagged behind the parallel market rate.

The UN news agency IRIN reports that the long queues that used to form outside exchange bureaus (often for exchanging foreign currencies that were hand-carried and sent by other means by migrants into the country) have now shifted to the banks where formal money transfers are processed.

The ongoing economic and political crisis in Zimbabwe has caused GDP to collapse by more than 50 percent, inflation to reach 231 million percent in July 2008, and the share of people living in poverty to increase to more than 80 percent of the population. Remittances to Zimbabwe from its 3 million emigrants (a quarter of the population) who fled the crisis are estimated to be between $360 million to $1 billion annually—the actual figure is likely to be even higher. These flows may have helped to stave off a complete collapse of the country and even more misery for the poor.  
 
Some questions to consider:

Les douanes camerounaises se regardent dans le miroir

En Afrique, l’administration des douanes joue un rôle de tout premier plan dans le développement économique et social puisque les droits et taxes collectées par les douanes représentent bien souvent au moins 30% des recettes du budget national (hors pays pétroliers). Dans le même temps, c’est l’une des administrations les plus décriées étant bien souvent décrites comme le symbole même de la corruption et un terrible frein au commerce.

Discovering two new cave-dwelling species before lunch

I'm in the north of Guangxi in southern China feeling privileged to be working in such a dramatic karst limestone landscape and part of another great project team. The conical and vertical towers of limestone jut out of the flat agricultural land, sometimes in single sentinels and sometimes in great families of jagged, pointed peaks, no two alike. At Mulun National Nature Reserve which abuts the Maolan World Heritage Site in Guizhou, there is nothing but these towers, and this is one of the sites getting detailed attention within our Integrated Forestry and Conservation Development Project. One sub-component of the project is directed at cave biodiversity. In that regard, we recently made some remarkable discoveries at Mulun.

As I have mentioned in an earlier blog post, cave biodiversity gets appallingly little attention relative to its significance. It is surely the most unknown of the terrestrial ecosystems, and it makes me drool to be close to places for which so little biological information is available.

Will the economic crisis affect governance and conflicts in Africa?

World economic growth in 2009 is expected to decline to its slowest rate since the Great Depression. In the case of Sub-Saharan Africa, the latest IMF’s World Economic Outlook projects the region to grow by 3.25% this year, down from 5.4% in 2008. Many economists are now expecting the crisis to hit Africa harder and longer than was previously projected. Not only will the crisis impact human development and economic indicators, but Africa’s governance and conflicts may be affected as well. Although the channels through which economic collapses affect governance and conflicts are often country-specific, institutions in poor countries tend to be so strained that ethnic tensions and confrontational politics can get worse when competition for scarce resources increases.

Empirical evidence on growth accelerations and collapses in Africa between 1975 and 2005 suggests that governance and conflict indicators are substantially affected by growth volatility. Table 1 presents differences between sample averages during growth accelerations and collapses for key governance and conflict indicators. The World Bank’s Country Policy and Institutional Assessment (CPIA) score, a broad measure of policy and institutional performance, is lower during decelerations. Correlation coefficients (not reported) between the probability of growth acceleration and deceleration and CPIA indicator confirm that countries that experience more economic collapses have lower CPIA scores.

What a Difference an 'S' makes

A few months ago, I finalized the Development Communication Sourcebook published by the World Bank. It includes a section entitled “Ten Key Issues on (Development) Communication” that addresses misconceptions frequently encountered when working in this field. I’ll be addressing those key issues in my next few posts, starting with this one: the difference and implications of using the terms “communication” and “communications.”