Thomas Schelling, one of the fathers of game theory, would be proud. There are now websites that allow people to place bets with themselves over whether they will achieve certain weight loss goals:
Kate Borden, 32, from Lancashire, signed up to one of the diet-betting sites, stickK.com, last November. She wanted to lose a stone in six months. “I just find it tough to motivate myself,” she says. “The only other time I had lost weight was when I had a bet with friends one New Year's Eve. The thought that it was almost a competition with myself and that someone else was the judge did it for me.”
Schelling recognized that people have multiple competing interests - the trick is figuring out how to lock in the choices of your "better self." Betting with yourself might just do the trick. The question is, can we think of any better uses than helping someone get to the gym?
During the Martial Law years in the Philippines (1970s to early 1980s), there was a story widely shared (discreetly) about a popular TV variety show host who was made to ride the bicycle all day in a military camp. According to accounts, he apparently displeased the rulers at the time for making a quip about the government's running slogan that goes, "sa ika-uunlad ng bayan, disiplina ang kailangan."Loosely translated, it means, "for the country to progress, discipline is what is needed."
What the TV host jokingly proclaimed was – "sa ika-uunlad ng bayan, bisikleta ang kailangan" ("what the country needs for progress is the bicycle"). True or not, the story fascinates me to this day. First, because some people just can't take a good joke. More importantly, because I thought the TV host must be a real visionary! He may have foreseen the traffic and pollution conditions some 15 years in the future and the need for cheaper alternatives for mobility.
I echo John Gastil's delight with this article. As someone who is passionate about the impact that communication and strategic communications can have on advancing development and someone who spends a lot of time "educating" and "persuading" development experts to include communication(s) in their program planning, I found this very useful, indeed. I loudly echo your last paragraph and the last line in your next-to-last paragraph. Paolo, thank you for this thought piece. I hope others will comment.
The third of the ten key issues about development communication is a crucial one and it asserts that there is a significant difference between development communication and other types of communication. What is the difference and why is important? Let us start by defining communication’s most renowned function; i.e. informing audiences and/or trying to persuade them to change attitudes or behavior. Communication is almost exclusively identified this way. However, the interdisciplinary area of development communication is not exclusively and not even primarily about information or persuasion.
Some studies such as Carter and Shaw (2006) show that the share of women among the self-employed is disproportionately small, that they run smaller businesses, that they are less likely to rely on venture capital and that their firms have lower debt-equity ratios. These differences in financing patterns could be due to two sorts of factors. First, bankers’ decisions about loan applications may differ across men and women whose businesses are similar in terms of solvency and creditworthiness (supply-side discrimination, associated with the work of economist Gary Becker). Second, male and female entrepreneurs may differ in terms of risk attitude, education, personal wealth, experience, etc., known as statistical discrimination. The challenge is to find out which of these (or both) factors hold.
A recent study by Muravyev et al. (forthcoming) attempts to do precisely this. The study is based on firm level data from the Business Environment and Enterprise Performance Survey (BEEPS, 2005), conducted in Europe and Central Asia by the World Bank’s Enterprise Surveys and EBRD.
I recently revisited the Social Science Research Council's (SSRC) Web Anthology on Remittances and Development, and was pleasantly surprised to find an excellent collection of research articles on this rather fast-growing topic. The articles are presented in a convenient format, organized under some broad themes such as concepts, methods, measures, determinants, uses, and impacts of remittances.
One area where more articles exist and can be added are those on remittance systems (by this I mean retail payment systems) and how they can be leveraged for accessing finance/capital at the household or institutional level. There could also be more articles on regulations - especially on anti-money-laundering/countering financing of terrorism - that affect remittance transactions.
Looks like there is quite a buzz around open data and data visualisation in the public sector and development world right now. This is what has landed in my inbox just in the last week:
Google has just released a new search feature that makes it easier to locate and compare public data. (Hat tip: Qian Zhu)
I wanted to follow up on Mohammad Amin’s excellent post on the enforcement of laws. One of the papers mentioned in the post is Safavian and Sharma (2007), which finds that laws protecting the rights of creditors are more effective when they can be enforced by efficient courts.
What does it mean to be an inefficient court? Kaplan and Sadka (2008) study this question using data gathered from a labor court in Mexico. In particular, they study cases in which a judge has decided that a worker is entitled to compensation from the firm, typically because the worker was fired without cause.
The seminar mentioned here went off very well. You can watch the video here. The main messages were:
(i) Economic policy should strive for flexibility, as the future is uncertain. Emmanuel Tumusiime-Mutabile said this was why he had allowed the Ugandan shilling to depreciate, although the deputy governor of the central bank of Sudan questioned whether an exchange rate depreciation would lead to inflation, and there was an interesting exchange on whether the alternative, holding the exchange rate fixed during a difficult period, wouldn’t be even worse.
(ii) Ishac Diwan suggested that we should design policy to take advantage of the downturn (for instance, the agriculture and manufacturing sectors, which are normally lagging in primary-exporting countries, could receive a boost now); while Ali Mansoor said we should prepare for the rebound in the global economy by, for example, improving infrastructure to be able to export more primary commodities when prices are high. Given that the world is likely to face even more volatility in the future, this two-part advice is sound.
(iii) Consolate Rusagara and Lamine Zeine both made a strong case for continuing to work on the basics during the crisis—improved financial regulation, including bank supervision and human development.
I came across a small, but interesting online effort to raise donations for an organization that works to improve child literacy in Laos. Called Library for Laos, the effort aims to raise $5,000 by May 1– just five days after it started. The money raised is intended to go to Big Brother Mouse, a neat, Laos-based project that publishes, teaches and distributes books to children in a country they say desperately needs it.
It's a nice concept for a good cause, but what sticks out to me are the coordinators' clear attempts to use social media to spread the word about their effort. On their website, they bank on the ease of PayPal for donating money and the viral nature of social media: "How many people follow you on Twitter? How many friends do you have on Facebook? Let's see how valuable they are!" It's early to tell if they're succeeding. After the first day, they had apparently raised $500 dollars.
Either way, the endeavor highlights how social sites like Facebook, which permeates everyday life for many of us, can serve the world's poor. For example, you have the option to join various "causes" on Facebook. And on Twitter, information can spread like wildfire through retweets (rebroadcasting content to your own set of followers). What do you think? Would you ask your online friends and/or followers to donate money to a good cause?
A while ago we wrote about the World Bank's Geo, a very useful Google map to browse WB's projects, news, statistics and public information centers by country.
The online directory AiDA (Accessible Information on Development Activities), has now put together a similar Google map with information about development activities. By clicking on a country we can see a summary of the development activities taking place there, classified according to Sector, Agency and Donor.
Bogd Khan Uul Strictly Protected Area (SPA) (41,651 ha) is located on the edge of Mongolia's capital city, Ulaanbaatar, and dominates the views to the south. It is the oldest continuously protected area in Mongolia and possibly the world, being first established in 1778. Its establishment preceded by almost 100 years that of Yellowstone National Park in the United States. There is evidence the area held informal protective status as early as the 12th century. Bogd Khan Uul holds significant historical and cultural importance (pdf) for the people of Mongolia. In 1995, Bogd Khan Uul was formally designated a 'Strictly Protected Area' in accordance with current Mongolian law. Bogd Khan Uul was further recognized for its ecological importance when it was awarded UNESCO Biosphere Reserve status in 1997.
Hover over "Notes" for photo information.
So, if one were going to undertake a conservation project focusing on forests in the central part of Mongolia, one would reckon on including it, right? Wrong.
Prior to the 1980s, it was believed that natural resource abundance would enable developing countries to make the transition from underdevelopment to industrial “take off”, just as it had done for countries such as Australia and the U.S (Rostow, 1961; Stages of Economic Growth). This view now stands challenged by a number of studies that demonstrate the existence of a “resource curse” – slower growth and poorer economic performance in natural resource rich countries.
The traditional explanation for the resource curse is the Dutch Disease or “deindustrialization”. That is, revenue from natural resources hurts traditional manufacturing through an increase in the exchange rate; also, resources such as labor and capital need to be moved from manufacturing to natural resource production. Most studies on the Dutch Disease stop here although the argument is far from complete.
Interaction between trade and climate change regimes has received much attention lately. While I can think of a number of “climate-positive” reasons for exploring synergies between the two regimes and for aligning policies that could stimulate production, trade, and investment in cleaner technology options, much of focus instead has been on using trade measures as weapons in the global climate negotiations. This stems mainly from competitiveness concerns in countries that are now racing to reduce GHG emissions to meet Kyoto 2012 targets and beyond and in the US primarily to allay domestic fears of a tightening climate regime. These concerns have led to proposals for tariff or border tax adjustments to offset any adverse impact of capping CO2 emissions. This also has roots in the fear of leakage of carbon-intensive industries such as steel and chemicals to non-implementing countries.
Today (April 28) is Equal Pay Day in the United States. The date of Equal Pay Day marks the additional amount of time an average woman in the U.S. must work to match the earnings of an average male worker from the previous year. Wait, think you just misread that? Then let me repeat it: to match the earnings of their male counterparts from 2008, women must work from January 2009 to April 2009.
China could very possibly be setting a record this year with the largest number of unemployed recent college graduates in the history of the world. A recent article in International Higher Education reports that in 2009 "close to 2 million graduates may not find jobs." The article goes on: "in a job fair held by Donghua University, more than 30,000 graduates competed for 1,700 positions provided by foreign firms." In 1999 the Chinese government embarked on an ambitious expansion of its higher education system - just in time for a huge number of students to graduate into the current depressed job market.
If you've taken a look at our Meetings blog, you may have noticed a series of videos called "VOICES" that we've been posting all week. The videos feature quick interviews with some of the people attending the 2009 Spring Meetings (from inside and outside the Bank) shot by simple handheld Flip Video cameras.
Filming and producing the series was a lot of fun, but also got me thinking about video players and the decisions we make about where to upload and share our videos.
Most of you may know about the World Bank Youtube channel. Our videos posted on the Youtube channel get quite a lot of views, and the videos we upload are of high quality and well-produced.
We decided to post our VOICES series on our Vimeo account partly because they were off-the-cuff videos with lower production values and wouldn't necessarily fit with the editorial direction of the Youtube channel.
Here's an example of one of the videos we posted to the channel:
A few of the people here at the Bank that were posting videos on Vimeo for the first were quick to remark about its ease of use and beautiful interface. Vimeo also allows much more flexibility when it comes to embedding videos and using HD video. Youtube, on the other hand, offers a much larger community and is still the number one place people visit when they are looking for video online.
I think there's value in having both accounts, and using them for different purposes. But that's just my personal opinion.
Have you tried several types of online video services? With so many of them out there, how do you decide which ones are best suited for your target audience?
The 2009 Spring Meetings have now come to a close. We hope that you enjoyed getting a quick look at some of the events and announcements coming out of this year's Meetings, and that this blog was a useful way to get quick snippets of information and insight from this past weekend's proceedings.
This blog will stay live in its current state (as will the Spanish version) until the next round of World Bank meetings, most probably the Annual Meetings taking place this fall. Until then, feel free to go through the archives, or click through the daily highlights (in the sidebar to your right) to get targeted information about some of the big events and announcements that took place.
I also encourage you to visit our Videos section on the blog, where you'll be able to find all the short interviews we did with some of the people attending the Spring Meetings, asking them about the Bank's role in the current financial crisis. Feel free to embed those videos on your own sites if you find them interesting — and if you can, let us know when you do!
I'll sign off now, but if you have any questions or feedback about the blog and why we decided to pilot it for this set of Meetings, feel free to use the contact form or leave us a comment. Thanks!
Earlier this year, the Institute for Migration and Development Issues (IMDI) in the Philippines launched a free (with registration) online country-level databank on overseas migration and development called the Philippine Migration
and Development Statistical Almanac.
According to the creators, the databank "harmonizes scattered statistics on overseas Filipinos and juxtaposes these to socio-economic development statistics. The statistics cover all types of overseas Filipinos, 239 countries and islands of destinations, and all 79 Philippine provinces of origin."
Data from the Migration and Remittances Factbook 2008 are included in this compendium, and we are glad to see countries take the initiative in filling the statistical gaps which exist in our field.
There is a global debate going on concerning why the global financial crisis erupted. The technical debate is what it is; so far there is far more heat than light. But in addition to the technical debate is a debate about how certain underlying assumptions about human nature entertained by economists and even famous central bankers have turned out to be incorrect. It turns out that human beings - as consumers, investors, bankers, stock traders - have not behaved in precisely the ways "rigorous" economic theories predicted that they would. Even Alan Greenspan, former Chairman of the Federal Reserve, showed his surprise at human nature at a congressional hearing late last year: "I made a mistake in presuming that the self-interests of organizations, specifically banks and others, were such as that they were best capable of protecting their own shareholders and their equity in the firms."