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July 2009

Thirsting for Social Change: Women, Agriculture, and a Stream of Opportunity

The cows were judging me. The unforgiving Indian summer sun was beating down on the crop field where I stood, and though I desperately wanted to listen the soft-spoken villager who was explaining the trials and accomplishments of his agriculturally centered village, my attention was pulled to the cattle several meters away. Perhaps I was dehydrated, perhaps a little woozy, but I am not proud to say that I could have sworn those grazing beasts were eyeing me, watching me wither under the intense gaze of the mid-afternoon sun. “Weakling,” They seemed to say.

And perhaps I was.

From my brief time spent in this rural, South Indian village, I had seen people deal with far more than the uncomfortable heat. These villagers like many throughout the rural areas of South Asia, worked long and tedious hours in their fields. Heat was not simply a discomfort, but could mean less water, less grass to feed the cattle, fewer crops, and, as a result, the inability to sustain spending on education, healthcare, and sanitation.

More Videos: Diaspora and Development in Africa

On the sidelines of the Diaspora conference I asked some colleagues how the crisis was impacting Africa and other regions, and how the diaspora could be of help. Please check out what they said, on video.

Nepal announces a diaspora bond

Excerpt from the budget speech (July 13, 2009, para 139) by the Nepal finance minister for the new fiscal year beginning this month:

"An arrangement has been made to issue "Infrastructure Development Bond" of an amount of Rs. 7 billion by Nepal Rastra Bank fixing pegged exchange rates targeting the Nepalese working abroad through Nepalese Embassies in South Korea, Malaysia, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Qatar, as a part of domestic borrowing for the coming fiscal year. Such Bonds can be purchased only from workers working abroad. From this arrangement, the remittance can be used for infrastructure development and the remittance itself remains free of additional charges while transmitting to Nepal. In addition to it, I am confident that such workers employed abroad will receive interest from the day of bond purchase and be benefitted."

A Gecko Challenging A Crocodile: Anti-Corruption Agency vs. Vested Interests

The New York Times recently published an article about the experience of Indonesia’s anti-corruption commission, whose existence is being threatened precisely because it is so very good at doing its job of fighting corruption. Sound like a conundrum? Hardly.

White on White

I love travelling to Afghanistan: friends and colleagues stare at me with puzzled, frightened looks. For Afghanistan is invariably associated with the Taliban, poppy fields, Sharia and women covered in blue chadri (burqa). The azure blue chadri has been displayed as the epitome of women's subordination to men and their lack of rights. In Andrei Konchalovsky's film, the First Teacher (1965), the schoolmaster strips off a black niqab from a young Kirghiz girl, his gesture liberates women from backward traditions and brings them a promising future. Twentieth century Kirghiz girls, twenty-first century Afghan women... same struggle?

The first time I set a foot in Afghanistan, women were not compelled to wear the fully covering chadri. But I saw no bare-headed woman. Wandering around Shahr-e Nau park, striding along the winding streets of Shor Bazaar, feeding doves at the crack of dawn in Mazar-e Sharif, picnicking on Friday afternoon in Babur gardens, I saw Afghan women in all shapes and shades of head covers.

Showing vs. Telling: map shows half the world represented by 5 percent GDP

It always seems to be the case that by simply writing or saying something, you can hardly get the same point across as by presenting it in a visual way. For example, it’s one thing to say, “three billion people (a little less than half the world’s population) comprise the bottom 5 percent of global GDP contributors.” But as the Strange Maps blog points out, it’s a little more eye-opening to show a map with those countries completely missing.

I’m not sure this map accomplishes much more than to illustrate a single interesting point – unlike the SHOW World animated maps we wrote about earlier this year or the popular WorldMapper Collection, both of which put several data sets in a visual format.

The map does, however, highlight the interesting fact that most of the countries represented are either in Southeast Asia or Africa. Check it out here.

Tendencias de las remesas en 2009

Como mencioné en mi anterior post, nuestra Nota Informativa No 10, la cual presenta una revisión de las perspectivas de las remesas, ha generado un gran interés en el mercado financiero, entre los analistas, investigadores, y en los medios de comunicación. El Financial Times escribió un editorial basado en nuestra nota. Aun una pequeña disminución del 7.3% en los flujos de remesas, según nuestras estimaciones, puede ocasionar un impacto a los países que enfrentan déficits de financiación externa. Ahora sabemos que la resistencia a la disminución de las remesas en el futuro fue un factor importante detrás del éxito del lanzamiento de los US $ 750 millones mega-bono de Filipinas.

El video adjunto es una versión muy corta de nuestras estimaciones sobre las tendencias de las remesas en el 2009.  

Dilip Ratha, economista principal y experto en remesas, Banco Mundial from World Bank on Vimeo.

Conferencia sobre la diáspora: ¡Fue un éxito!

A pesar que fue un poco de trabajo, valió la pena organizar la conferencia. Nuestro objetivo era ir más allá de discutir los temas sobre las remesas. Queríamos discutir iniciativas concretas para aprovechar los recursos de la diaspora sea en la forma de transferir recursos tangibles (contribución monetaria, inversiones, etc.) e intangibles (conocimiento, tecnología, contactos, etc.). Quisiéramos dar las gracias a todos los presentadores y a los participantes por contribuir al éxito de la conferencia. Recibimos cerca de 200 trabajos, de los que al final sólo 35 fueron seleccionados para ser presentados en las sesiones. El debate fue enriquecedor dado el intercambio de ideas. El programa y las presentaciones de la conferencia están están disponibles en inglés aquí.

Permítanme destacar brevemente en el video adjunto algunas de las ideas y los próximos pasos que han surgido como resultado del intercambio de ideas durante esta conferencia.

Sonia Plaza from World Bank on Vimeo.

Where Are We Driving this Truck?

The Center for International Media Assistance (CIMA) is one of our valued partners in the work on communication for governance and accountability. Very relevant to our own work on media development, CIMA just published a report on "Monitoring and Evaluation of Media Assistance Projects." Author Andy Mosher, formerly of the Washington Post, interviewed Monitoring and Evaluation (M&E) practioners in major US donor and implementation agencies to find out what is being done - and what is being done successfully - to assess the impact of media development projects. Representative of his question is a quote from one of his interviewees: "Where are we driving this truck?" According to what I read in the report and what I heard at its launch this week in Washington, I'm not sure we even know how to start the truck.

The Gender Perspectives of the Global Crisis of 2008

This is a summary of materials available from ILO and World Bank.

The financial and economic crises of 2008 had gender-specific impacts and placed a disproportionate burden on women, in particular poor, migrant and minority women. Even though both women and men are affected by job losses, women are often laid off first, as men are traditionally considered to be the main “breadwinners”. Some of the implications of the global financial and economic crisis on women are:

Defining Problems for Effective Coalition-Building

Technical specialists like to name social problems using the language of their disciplines, and of whatever narrow policy community they belong to. What they often forget is that to secure broad support within the relevant political community how you define the problem that you are asking society to focus on and do something about matters. It matters a great deal. In fact, it can be the difference between getting the attention of legislators and broad publics or having your issue ignored.

For a live example consider the current efforts to implement health-care reform in the United States, something that presidents have been trying to do for about 50 years. Let's ask: What's wrong with America's health care system? What needs to be fixed? In other words what is the definition of the problem?

Quote of the Week

 

"Public opinion represents a consensus, which emerges over time, from all the expressed views that cluster around an issue in debate, and that this consensus exercises power."

-- Cutlip, S M, Center, A H and Broom, G M (1994) Effective Public Relations, Prentice-Hall International Inc, 7th edn.
 

India is the top recipient of remittances

With Sanket

Newly available data show that remittance flows to developing countries reached $328 billion in 2008. In India, flows were stronger than expected in 2008 reaching $52 billion, up 34% compared to a year ago, and higher than our earlier estimate of $45 billion. India retains its position as the top recipient of migrant remittances among developing countries, followed by China, Mexico and the Philippines (figure 1).

Figure 1. India was the top recipient of migrant remittances among developing countries in 2008
 

Every silver lining has a cloud: the impacts of climate change in Europe and Central Asia

 Photo © Rachel Block/World Bank

Reading the newspapers last January when Russia suspended the supply of gas to the rest of Europe—with Eastern European countries hardest hit—I could not help but think that the region might be better off with fewer sub-zero days during winter.

On a trip to the Balkans last year, I partook of the colorful summer bounty of peppers and tomatoes enjoyed throughout southern Russia and Southeastern Europe. 

"Dear Diary: August 27th, 2008. Sarajevo.  Best tomato of my life. If this reckless bus driver careens off the mountainside, at least I’ll die satisfied."

What a contrast from the pickles and cabbage my great-great-grandparents subsisted on in Poland and Lithuania! Though I was raised “properly”—with a taste for pickled cauliflower and herring—I could see why the northern reaches of the region might appreciate a longer growing season and more sunny, tomato-ripening days.

Studying (and contributing to) projections of global food supply in the changing climate over the next century, I see precipitous drops in yields projected in already-poor swaths of Africa, and in densely populated and cultivated regions in South and East Asia.  But many have concluded that, globally, there will be enough food to go around—thanks to the expanding role of Europe and Central Asia as the breadbasket of the world—and assuming free and fair international trade in food.
 
A recent report by the World Bank, “Adapting to Climate Change in Europe and Central Asia,” argues that these outcomes can by no means be taken for granted.

Extending Reach and Increasing Impact

ICD09The recent release of the World Bank's new flagship publication on ICT for development (ICT4D) contains much food for thought for educational policymakers. IC4D 2009: Extending Reach and Increasing Impact takes an in-depth look at how ICT, and particularly broadband and mobile, are impacting economic growth in developing countries.

How can education systems help develop the type of workers increasingly needed for jobs that increasingly require familiarity (and in some cases mastery) of ICTs -- a challenge complicated by the fact that many of these jobs may not yet even exist?

China's presence on Fortune's Global 500 list grows, despite economic crisis

Another example of China’s respectable growth, despite the global economic crisis, is apparent in this month’s Fortune magazine, with its Global 500 list of the world’s largest companies. The 37 Chinese firms that made the list is all the more impressive when you consider just six companies made the list in 1998, as Worldfocus pointed out on its blog and on its television program.

In the following video clip, Fortune global editor Brian Dumaine says the increasing number of Chinese Fortune 500 companies is all about the country’s economic growth. “It’s a growth story,” he says, “and if you look at where most growth is going on, it’s not in the developed world, it’s in the developing world.”

Despite the successes of a number of Chinese companies, other developing countries in the East Asia and Pacific region are all but completely absent from the Fortune’s list. Of developing countries, only Thailand is listed with its state-owned oil and gas company, PTT Public Company Limited, which has been on the list for at least the past several years.

Research Without Borders

A CommGAP colleague and I recently spent a week in Kampala, Uganda, to attend a workshop with communication and media research teams from 14 African and Asian countries.  These country teams make up the BBC World Service Trust’s Research & Learning (R&L) Group, headed by Dr. Gerry Power, who also manages an expert group in their London head office. 

More than 15 development-oriented projects were presented during the workshop, including media productions, capacity building and training efforts, and public information and advocacy campaigns. 

Semi-Globalization

As interdependence between the developed (North) and developing countries (South) becomes greater, the economic policies of the North will invariably impact on the South. Globalization, defined as the increasingly free flow of ideas, people, goods, services, and capital that leads to the integration of economies and societies, has become a major force for global change, but much remains to be understood about the transmission channels and potential impacts.  The developing countries commonly complain that the global system is a ‘creditor-run financial system’ and as such, maintaining the stability of the financial system is more important for the advanced countries than mitigating financial crisis in any particular country. 

Comment: Keeping the Money Where It Belongs

A reader's comment to the blog post Keeping the Money Where It Belongs:

I think you are very much on the spot here. Building up trust is key for using existing channels to report bribery. This needs to come with making anti-corruption institutions sufficiently independent and provide them with the necessary power to prosecute cases.

Civil Society offers such as Transparency International's Advocacy and Legal Advice Centres (http://blog.transparency.org/2009/06/03/paid-a-bribe/) can fill the void only in a very limited manner.

Internet usage in China jumps to 338 million people, latest data show

Internet usage in China continues to grow, and the latest figures released by the Chinese government’s Web research organization show that the total number of online users, at 338 million, surpasses the population of the United States. The impressive statistics – which reflect a 13.4 percent jump from 2008 – had a number of blogs and news sites buzzing late last week. The full report is available in Chinese here (pdf), and WSJ’s China Journal blog has a nice roundup of the findings in English here.

The growth in China – and the rest of East Asia and the world for that matter – is nothing new. Last year, we shared 2008 comScore statistics showing Asia’s internet audience growing faster than all other regions worldwide. And according to more recent information from comScore, the Asia-Pacific region has the highest global share of internet users, at 41 percent (although it’s important to note that the penetration rate of the region is only around 17 percent of the population – well below most other regions – according to this web stats site).

We’ve seen that increased connectivity through mobile phones and the internet may lead to improved economic growth, job creation and good governance, as well as other activities like mobile banking. And as more people, particularly in developing countries, get connected, this growth trend clearly seems to be a positive one.

Image credit: TimYang.net at Flickr under a Creative Commons license.

Diaspora Conference: What a successful event!

It was a bit of work, but felt like it was worth it. We wanted to go beyond remittances and discuss concrete initiatives to harness diaspora resources. Thanks to all the presenters and participants for making the conference a success. We had nearly 200 submissions, from which in the end only 35 presentations were selected. The discussion was rich. Take a look at the presentations here. 
 
Let me briefly highlight in the attached video some of the ideas and next steps coming from the exchanges during this conference.

Sonia Plaza on Diaspora from World Bank on Vimeo.

A political and potential food crisis in Niger?

The New York Times recently reported on the political crisis in Niger, where the President’s dismissal of the Constitutional Court (which had ruled against his proposal to abolish term limits) is being contested by the main political parties, civil society and lawmakers. The attached note by my colleague Amadou Ibrahim suggests that the situation could be even worse. As the international community (whose aid finances about 45 percent of Niger’s budget) focuses on the political deadlock, early estimates are that this year’s rainfall will be weak. With most Nigeriens making their living from agricultural production and about 25 percent of them already food insecure, a shortfall in food production coupled with the political turmoil could threaten the lives of millions of people.

The Resilience of Bangladesh's Economy May Again be Tested This Year

The Bangladesh economy entered FY10 in a position of strength, notwithstanding some pretty tough global circumstances. Good recovery in agriculture, a sustained growth in exports and remittances, and a steady growth in services helped achieve an estimated overall growth of 5.9 percent in FY09, compared with 6.2 percent in FY08. A decline in international commodity prices driven by the global recession and an improvement in domestic food supplies brought inflation down from 10 percent in FY08 to an estimated 7 percent in FY09. Rice prices have remained stable too at nearly 40 percent below the peak reached in April, 2008. The economy has shown reasonable stability in terms of most other macroeconomic indicators. The external current account has been in a large surplus; the exchange rate has been stable; foreign exchange reserves have reached record high levels of nearly $7.5 billion; fiscal balances have been contained; and private credit growth has remained decent.

This is all good news but it doesn’t mean Bangladesh goes totally unscathed by those tough global circumstances.

Video: Outlook for Remittances

As mentioned in my earlier post, our Brief outlining the revised outlook for remittances has drawn a lot of interest, from market players, analysts, policy wonks, and the media. The Financial Times wrote a great editorial on this matter. Even a small decline of 7.3% in remittance flows, as we predict, can make a great deal of difference to countries facing external financing gaps. Now we know that the resilience of remittances going forward was an important factor behind the successful launching of the $750 million mega-bond from the Philippines.
 
This week, I have decided to post a video highlighting some regional trends. Let's continue this discussion. Please send in your thoughts and comments.

Dilip Ratha from World Bank on Vimeo.