It is difficult for many of us to focus on more than one thing at a time. Maybe we are hard-wired that way. But if ever our species needed to evolve such an ability, now is the time. At the same time that we urgently need to decarbonize the global economy, we also need to plan for a very different and much more unstable climate. It’s adaptation time too.
The World Development Report 2010 brings home the urgent need for both decarbonization and adaptation planning. There is a new realism afoot in both the climate change science community and in the development community, brought about by mounting scientific observations of change but also some sobering numbers and projections.
There is, I would say, very little realistic probability of avoiding cumulative emissions that will force the climate system beyond 2°C—unless, of course, there is a significant breakthrough in Copenhagen on mitigation targets, beyond what is presently on the table, and immediate implementation of those targets.
Foreign access rarely receives good press. Although over half of the world’s exclusive economic zones are subject to some form of foreign fishing arrangement, there is a perception that industrialized nations are "giving with one hand while taking away with the other." Criticism abounds regarding the role that foreign fleets play in overexploiting coastal state fish stocks, in engaging in illegal and unreported activity, in contributing to conflicts with small-scale fisheries and in generally undermining domestic fishing interests in vulnerable developing economies.
اسمك سارة. تعيشين في نيويورك، أو ربما في نيروبي حيث تقسمين وقتك بين رعاية أسرتك الصغيرة وإقامة مشروع صغير. حياتك أكثر راحة من حياة أمك، ومستقبل أولادك أكثر إشراقا مما كنت تأملين. إلى أن يأتي يوم يستشيط فيه زوجك غضبا وغيرة ويضربك ضربا مبرحا.
وبعد قليل، يبدأ في مراقبة مكالماتك الهاتفية وتحركاتك، والتقليل من شأنك وإحداث كدمات بجسمك. أحيانا يعتذر، ويحدوك الأمل في أن تتحسن الأمور. لكن ما أن يعلم أنك تخططين لفتح حساب بنكي باسمك، يحرق لك متجرك- ليدمر سبيلك الوحيد إلى الاستقلال. إلى من تلجئين عندما تقول لك أسرتك والأصدقاء إنك محظوظة لأن لديك زوجا يعمل، بينما لا تقدم الشرطة ولا رجال الدين ولا الأجهزة القضائية أي ملاذ أو دعم لك؟ خياراتك قليلة وتنطوي على مخاطرة لك ولأطفالك.
The economic data for the third quarter of 2009, released almost two weeks ago, confirmed an impressive recovery in China’s economy, supported by very large fiscal and monetary stimulus. Real GDP growth rose to 8.9 percent year-on-year in the third quarter. This is clearly good news, for China and many other countries whose economies are benefiting at the moment from strong demand from China. As the World Bank economic team for China (which I'm part of) argues in more detail in the new China Quarterly Update, it also means that it is time to consider a less expansionary macroeconomic policy stance and focus more on the structural reforms needed to rebalance the economy and get more growth out of the domestic economy on a sustained basis.
It’s not as if China has not been hit by the global recession. China’s real economy has been hit hard. Exports fell sharply since November last year, and the contribution of net external trade to GDP growth was minus 3.6 percent points in the first three quarters of this year – with the negative contribution particularly large in the third quarter (in year-on-year terms).
Of the 1.4 billion people living in extreme poverty, the vast majority resides in rural areas, relying on smallholder agriculture as a source of income and livelihood. Agricultural labor statistics are needed to study some of the most pressing issues in development: how households earn income, the factors driving urbanization, the causes of un- and under-employment, the constraints to growth in Sub-Saharan Africa, and, in the big picture, understanding the potential for structural transformation. And, as climate change continues to impact smallholder farming outcomes, collecting quality data is even more important as we think ahead to interventions that promote climate-resilience for family farmers.
Laura Tuck, Vice President for the Europe and Central Asia region of the World Bank, discusses her recent trip to Albania, during which she had broad ranging discussions with the government and other partners on the country's growth and development.