What do people fight over? The answers are simpler than you might think.

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The history of humankind is filled with violence. People have been hurting and killing one another practically since they stood up and walked on two legs. And while each battle claims a unique call-to-arms, at the end of the day, the rallying cries are always strikingly similar. Human beings prefer to remain peaceful, except when their lives or livelihoods are threatened.

In the study Pathways for Peace, we examined conflicts throughout history, across the world, and found that while every violent conflict has unique characteristics, conflict tends to play out in a handful of critical spaces that pertain to safety, livelihoods, and well-being. These spaces, or “arenas,” involve power and governance; access to land and natural resources; delivery of services; and justice and security. 

Because each arena is essential to livelihoods and well-being, exclusion from any one of them can quite literally be a matter of life or death. For example:

Competition for power has marked conflicts for time eternal. Who sits at the table where decisions are made? Who gets to make or change the rules? Who has the power to exclude others? The answers to these questions fundamentally determine a society’s organization and health. The more inclusive and representative a society is vis-à-vis power sharing, the greater the chances for avoiding violence. One way to manage conflicts over political power that risk becoming violent is through political settlement, which can be either explicit or implicit. Power-sharing agreements are an important aspect of political settlements, and help to allocate a share of power to various groups within society. These arrangements also come with their own risks—and in turn need to be managed. Violence can also flare up around elections, as they by definition produce winners and losers and can bring forth demands, grievances, and expectations.

By extension, political power translates into having power over land and natural resources. Just like the children’s game of “capture the flag,” the team with the most territory wins. Today, this arena faces enormous pressure from the impacts of climate change, population growth, urbanization, and the expansion of large-scale agriculture. Violent conflict around land is typically stoked by grievances related to land scarcity, insecurity of tenure, and historical injustices, which can play out individually or in combination. Access to water (described as the “petroleum of the next century”) can act as a risk factor in both intra- and interstate conflict, while failure to achieve water security can act as a risk multiplier. The potential for extractive resources to fuel instability and conflict is well documented—although they also can confer significant benefits onto populations and improve development outcomes.

Service delivery, too, represents an arena of contention. How services are delivered, whether access is perceived as fair or even, and whether there are means of recourse for unfair outcomes all matter. Indeed, in terms of state legitimacy, perceptions of fairness and inclusion regarding service delivery matter as much, if not more, than the quality of the services or who delivers them. Because the state is ultimately responsible for ensuring service delivery—even if it may not be the provider, in all cases—perceptions in this arena affect overall state legitimacy.

Finally, and fundamentally, grievances around access to basic security and justice drive many of today’s violent conflicts, just as they have throughout history. In particular, law enforcement practices that are seen as targeting particular groups—youth, members of marginalized minorities—are one of today’s leading sources of grievance that push young people to join armed groups, including violent extremist groups.

In all these arenas, inclusiveness and perceptions of fairness matter as much, and perhaps more, than inequality in outcomes.

Because they are so contentious, these arenas can be highly resistant to reform. This is not helped by the fact that those with the power to expand access tend to be those with the most to lose from that expansion. It is those actors who are already at the table who must agree to change the rules and redefine the power balance in the arenas, and they may see little benefit in altering the status quo.
 
While the extent to which these arenas factor into different conflicts today varies, it is clear that no country has emerged from violent conflict, or pulled back from the brink of violent conflict, without somehow addressing conflict in these arenas.  For example, land reform is a pillar of Colombia’s peace agreement and its implementation. Likewise, Niger’s Renaissance Project attempts to address social and economic grievances that could translate into conflict risks by reducing poverty across groups.
 
The message is clear: sooner or later, countries will need to address conflict in these critical arenas. They will need adequate support to do so, or we can expect conflict to continue. 

Authors

Alys Willman

Former Senior Social Development Specialist, Fragility, Conflict & Violence Group

Neelam Verjee

Social Development Specialist, Fragility, Conflict & Violence Group

Join the Conversation

Anonymous
April 05, 2018

Insightful

Peter Ibembe
April 06, 2018

Great information, well summarised and to the point. Captures the true essence of the fight for influence, etc.

DrOvais
April 06, 2018

Its truly portrayed to the historical facts about conflict which stems from the desire to quench it from encroaching upon others' rights. It also exists between haves and have nots, but the might always overwhelms every decision.

PATRICK FIATI
April 06, 2018

THANK YOU FOR THE LECTURE. WELL APPRTECIATED!

ADENIYI ELEGBEDE
April 06, 2018

The four factors are clearly the causes of conflict around the world. It is high time our leaders address these issues. It is incontrovertible that our leaders are probably myopic in their tacking of these problems.
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Rizwanul Haq
April 06, 2018

Great inputs, Thank you.

Anna Kele
April 06, 2018

Competition for power including the support of the millitary services is a crucial issue in many countries of the world. Where the police and the justice working slow, legal chanels may be opened for private or locally organized troops what can also be "commanded" any time for the interests of a the local community or a small groop of people living in the area. They should be called the "shadow police" whatever their official name, sometimes including unemployed local men and women fired from customs, police or other military services, depending on the local governments' decisions including financial measures and other local regulations.

Ezedine H-Mabrouk
April 11, 2018

I fully agree with the four arenas of conflict and violence mentioned in this study but regret the omission of the most important one, indeed the towering one that historically dwarfs all the other four arenas which is religion. True, “the history of humankind is filled with violence”, violence that is triggered more often than not by religion or for religious reasons. William T. Cavanaugh starts in his 2007 Harvard Divinity School essay by stating that “everyone knows that religion has a dangerous tendency to promote violence”. Historically, this tendency includes all religions whether divine or not! All of them have sullied their hands with conflicts and violence and that since the emergence of the religious streak in humans and till today and why not till tomorrow and after, if important studies such as Pathways for Peace neglect or shy away from pointing to this important problem and from addressing it at least in an information and awareness building effort!

Ibrahim Nurudeen
April 11, 2018

This article refreshes us that conflict is a survival mechanism in itself as life remains in the Hobbesian State of Nature. It is quite informative and gladdens my heart to know that it is a product of a study