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Andrei, Your comments are prescient and well informed and reflect your deep understanding of the situation here. I fully agree with your observations and I too have yet to see any informed view based on data of why the goat is the 'villian' and what would be an "appropriate" herd size for a nation of this size. You know that technically spring has arrived! It is tsagaan Tsaar, the lunar year begins this there is a thawing, todays temperature reading in my car in UB was a mere -31.