US

In my previous blog entry, I made the case that both the antecedents of the financial crisis faced by Chile in 1982, as well as the approach taken to resolve it, provide insights for countries such as the US today -suitably adapted by circumstances, size and complexity, of course.  Nonetheless, focusing on the fundamental pillars to approach the crisis comprehensively (including fiscal and monetary policies, institutional revamp, financial workouts, regulatory reforms) always ought to be a priority, rather than endless debates about whether one initiative such as a ‘bad bank’, will be the solution.  

From its more recent experience, there are further insights from Chile for the Americas. One is Chile’s consistently effective macro-economic management over the past two decades, where fiscal surpluses (a term that appears to have been excised from the US lexicon) have been the order of the day.  In fact, ‘best practice’ stabilization funds have permitted a sizeable accumulation of public funds during the ‘fat cow’ years, for judicious use during leaner times. 

With a new administration in the White House, different approaches to address the persistent financial crisis are on the table, once more.  Over the last week there's been some talking about the creation of an "aggregator bank" -also called 'bad' bank- that will buy troubled assets with part of the remaining bailout funds (TARP), aiming to take toxicity off financial institutions' balance sheets. 

An aggregator bank that eats all of the junk in the financial sector is expected to finally unfroze credit markets, and gives new life to the idea of a bailout a la Swedish.  However, the Nordic country's experience draws some specific governance lessons that go beyond separating good and bad assets, and that are applicable regardless of the technicalities, features and context that make both cases different.

Very recently we witnessed political and social unrest in Colombia due to the implosion of the DMG pyramid scheme (named after the scammer, David Murcia Guzman).  And now we got Madoff in Wall Street.  These cases today show how difficult it is sometimes to learn from the past.  Especially when past events are far way in space and time…

I have received articles from experts in Colombia who found parallels in their current case with the analysis I made long time ago on the Mavrodi’s MMM pyramid scheme collapse, which inflicted major pain on so many Russian citizens in 1994.  The focus of my old article was on the MMM Russian case.  But there were other such financial collapses caused by pyramid schemes at that time, including in Romania, and then the tragic case of Albania, in which 2,000 citizens died during the civil war that ensued.

"Let us be the generation that reshapes our economy to compete in the digital age. Let's set high standards for our schools and give them the resources they need to succeed. Let's recruit a new army of teachers, and give them better pay and more support in exchange for more accountability.