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A blog about migration, remittances, and development

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This blog is hosted by Dilip Ratha, lead economist at the World Bank. Its goal is to leverage migration and remittances for development.  
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Diaspora Matters

Announcing the International Conference on Diaspora for Development, July 13-14, 2009

The Migration and Remittances team of the Development Economics and Prospects Group (DEPG) of the World Bank is organizing an International Conference on Diaspora and Development on July 13-14, 2009 in Washington D.C. You are invited to participate in this conference and join economists, policy makers and other colleagues in the discussions. 

The diaspora of developing countries can be a potent force for development for their countries of origin, through remittances, but more importantly, also through promotion of trade, investments, knowledge and technology transfers. The conference aims to consolidate research and evidence on these issues with a view to formulating policies in both sending and receiving countries.

New paths to funding: Performance-indexed bonds

As estimates of the financing gap in developing countries range from $350 to $635 billion, there are increasing efforts to find new sources and innovative ways to mobilize external financing.  In the latest issue of Finance & Development, Suhas Ketkar and I contributed an article, “New Paths to Funding," which discusses diaspora bonds, performance-indexed bonds and securitization of future remittances and export earnings as possible means for restoring, or starting, access of poor country borrowers to international capital markets.
 
New sources of financing include potential savings from reducing remittance fees. The G8 Global Remittances Working Group has set a 5X5 target - reduce remittance fees by 5 percentage points within 5 years - which could raise more than $15 billion additional, annual resource flows to developing countries. This objective got welcome support from the G8 Development Ministers Meeting in Italy last week. The Leading Group - a group of 55 countries that have come together to explore innovative financing for development - also discussed remittances and diaspora bonds in a meeting two weeks ago in Paris. 

Call for papers: International Conference on Diaspora for Development, July 13-14, 2009

The Migration and Remittances team of the Development Economics and Prospects Group (DEPG) of the World Bank is organizing an International Conference on Diaspora and Development on July 13-14, 2009 in Washington D.C. 

The diaspora of developing countries can be a potent force for development for their countries of origin, through remittances, but more importantly, also through promotion of trade, investments, knowledge and technology transfers. The conference aims to consolidate research and evidence on these issues with a view to formulating policies in both sending and receiving countries.

The program committee invites economists (and non-economists as well) and policy makers to submit proposals for papers on related themes. Topics will include but are not limited to:

  • Demographic trends that will influence the destination and composition of the diasporas from developing countries.
  • Diaspora's economic and non-economic contributions to development through trade, investment, transfer of technology, skill transfer, institution building. (Ideally, we would like to cover topics other than remittances and brain drain on which much has already been written.)
  • Policies that deepen the diaspora's contribution to the development of the country of origin. For example, do diaspora bonds actually help mobilize financing for development? Does dual citizenship deepen the diaspora's ties to the country of origin?

Papers with a focus on Africa are especially welcome. Also papers dealing with developed countries are welcome if they draw lessons for developing countries.

Consumption smoothing via migration and remittances

Atlanta Fed Research Economist Federico Mandelman and Andrei Zlate, a PhD candidate in economics at Boston College, have prepared a paper analyzing the role that of migration and remittances during the business cycle. The data they present indicate that when the U.S. economy has outperformed Mexico’s, there were usually more attempted illegal crossings into the United States.

The flow of remittances to Mexico increases during boom times in the U.S. economy as well as during recessions in Mexico.  During economic expansions, immigrant labor becomes relatively scarce, as the increase in the number of immigrants does not keep up with the increase in labor demand. Thus immigrants receive relative higher wages and send larger remittances. The opposite occurs during recessions, when immigrant labor becomes relatively abundant and immigrant wages decline. Border enforcement discourages temporary return migration, as it makes more difficult to re-enter once the economic conditions improve in the recipient economy.

"Brain drain" and the global mobility of high-skilled talent

Since the 1960s, much of the literature on the development impact of migration has focused on ‘brain drain,’ the emigration of qualified professionals from developing countries and the subsequent loss of skills (which occurs faster than the replacement rate).

In the late 1990s, the literature shifted from brain drain to ‘brain gain,’ exploring the potential benefits of skilled migration arising from remittances, return migration, creation of trade and business networks, and the possible incentive effects of migration prospects on human capital formation at home.  You can see an extensive review of these issues here.

The questions related to the global mobility of high skilled workers can be grouped into two areas:

  1. Brain drain/gain, and the challenge of retaining and attracting high-skilled professionals such as doctors, scientists, and engineers; and
  2. The contribution of the diaspora in fostering the transfer of knowledge, technology, and finance, including remittances. ( link to http://www1.worldbank.org/prem/PREMNotes/premnote123.pdf)

A new report from the U.S. Census Bureau on Educational Attainment states that “a larger percentage of foreign-born than native-born residents had a master’s degree or higher in 2007.”  Their numbers lead me to ask:

  • What are the challenges for the U.S. in developing, finding, and retaining talent?
  • Will foreign students continue to choose the U.S.  as a place to study or will they prefer other countries?

Ethiopia announces first diaspora corporate bond

Ethiopia announced perhaps the first sub-sovereign corporate bond aimed at the diaspora. A release by the Ethiopian Ministry of Foreign Affairs says that the bond launched on December 23rd will provide funds to the Ethiopian Electric Power Corporation (EEPCO) for investments which will increase power supply to the nation, where only 27 percent of the people currently have access to electricity.

The government-guaranteed bond will be issued for a minimum denomination of US$500, maturing in 5, 7 or 10 years (with interest rates of 4%, 4.5% and 5% respectively). The interest earned would be free of income tax.  The news that companies in developing countries are starting view migrants as a potential source of external (hard currency) finance is indeed noteworthy. I will post more details as they become available.

Sri Lankan migrants to be allowed to invest in government securities

Sri Lanka recently announced that it would open up the government securities market for its migrants abroad. Sri Lankan diaspora and migrant workers would be allowed to invest in rupee denominated treasury bills and treasury bonds.

The press release by the Sri Lanka central bank suggests that this measure “…is expected to widen the investor base, diversify the Government Securities market, make it more convenient for Sri Lankans living abroad to access Government Securities, and to create a more stable Government securities market. This scheme will also provide a safe and highly liquid investment opportunity for Sri Lankans living abroad, while providing them with an attractive return on their investments.”

Are there new innovative financing mechanisms in the fast lane?

The UN Conference on Financing for Development (FfD) took place in Doha, Quatar from November 30th through December 2nd. The World Bank,  Agence Française de Développement (AFD) and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation jointly organized a side event on "Lessons for Practitioners: Innovative Financing for Development."

The main objective of this session was to discuss how innovative financing mechanisms and instruments can be better tailored to the needs of developing countries and make development finance more effective.

For long-term growth and poverty reduction, developing countries need both “smart” public finance-based mechanisms and innovative “market-based” (i.e., private-to-private) financing instruments.  In the current crisis situation, facilitation of cross-border capital channeled to the private sector is of particular significance.

The panelists shared experiences and perspectives on the use of innovative financing using market-based and public finance-based financing tools, and public-private partnerships. They also discussed the role of various stakeholders and facilitators including bilateral and multilateral institutions in the development and promotion of these instruments. In light of the scarce resources available for developing countries:

Innovative financing through migration and remittances

Perhaps one of the earliest utilitarians was Charvak (his name literally means "sweet talker" in Sanskrit) who a few centuries ago said, "live happily as long as you live/drink a lot of ghee, and borrow if need be!" Now in the thick of a financial crisis marked by excessive borrowing and lending, one might argue against the Charvak Doctrine. It's true that debt, like fire, can be dangerous ("Don't borrow, because you will get into debt"), but if managed prudently, it can also fuel new projects, new products, and growth and employment in many poor countries.

Last week we launched a book titled "Innovative Financing for Development." In this book we argue that poor countries need additional, cross-border capital channeled to the private sector to generate employment, growth, and poverty reduction. For that, innovative financing mechanisms are necessary. The volume brings together various market-based innovative methods of raising development finance including securitization of future flow receivables, diaspora bonds, and the role of shadow sovereign ratings in facilitating access to international capital markets.

While diaspora bonds (both as financial instruments, and as "ties" with the diaspora) are obviously linked to migration, the chapters in the book explain that (a) properly accounting for migrant remittances can significantly improve sovereign ratings; and (b) future migrant remittances can be used as collateral to further lower the borrowing costs and increase the tenor of loans.