Global Economic Prospects 2015

The global economy is still struggling to gain momentum. Read more ...

Development Prospects

Providing information, analysis, and advice on global trends in the world economy.  Find out more ...

Global Economic Monitor

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Prospects Weekly: First trade data released for September are not promising

Global Macroeconomics Team's picture
First trade data released for September are not promising, with most countries reporting lower import volumes, suggesting that the risk of a worldwide deceleration in demand is real. Meanwhile with all three major rating agencies downgrading Spain’s long-term sovereign debt rating in the past few days, the sovereign credit quality-gap between developing and developed countries continued to narrow.

Prospects Weekly: Data releases suggests that capital good orders appear to be holding firm

Global Macroeconomics Team's picture
Recent data releases suggests  that capital good orders from developing countries  appear to be holding firm, despite heightened  uncertainty in the global economy. Sovereign bond spreads for emerging markets have narrowed recently, amid bolder attempts to address the eurozone debt crisis. While the decline in spreads is welcome, their sensitivity to events in Europe is worrisome.

Prospects Weekly: Concerns about global economic prospects amid loss of confidence

Global Macroeconomics Team's picture
Concerns about global economic prospects amid heightened financial market turmoil are weighing on consumer spending despite the relief coming from lower commodity prices. Associated uncertainty is reflected in a sharp decline of gross capital flows to developing countries in Q3, with bond and equity flows having plunged as investors sought safe-haven assets.