Mohammad Amin gave us a post on new results from a survey of informal firms. Good data from informal firms is indeed an exciting innovation.
I want to focus on his results from Côte d'Ivoire. It turns out that 95% of informal firms in Côte d'Ivoire believe that their access to credit would improve if they became formal firms. This result prompts Mohammad to ask “why don’t firms register then?”
Only 11% of formal firms in Côte d'Ivoire have a line of credit or a loan from a financial institution. A staggering 66% of formal firms identify access to finance as a major constraint. It doesn’t look like access to finance in the formal sector is very good. Not surprisingly, Côte d'Ivoire also fairs quite poorly in the Getting Credit indicator of Doing Business.
So how do we reconcile all of this information? I’m inclined to believe the informal guys and suppose that access to finance would improve with formalization. But based on what the formal guys say and what the Doing Business rankings say, I bet that the improvement in access to finance would be small. If Côte d'Ivoire improved its business climate, particularly in the area of Getting Credit, many of these informal firms might decide that becoming formal is a good idea.