At the Business Week blog, Economics Unbound, Michael Mandel argues that future economic growth depends most on our ability to develop new energy technologies and on whether there will be a major war.
On the first question, my old colleagues at Shell did some superb work developing energy scenarios to the year 2050.
Scenario planning remains a hot area, even if the pre-millennial futurology bubble has deflated a bit. Check out scenarios for the future of the aid industry here and here, or our reading list on scenarios for the aid industry.
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