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Thanks Aleem.

I agree the distinction between "complicated" and "complex" is useful; and your example of "building a bridge" vs "managing traffic" is a good one.

But in general I don't think the simple / complicated / complex / chaotic distinction is useful, for a few reasons:

a. it ignores the distinction between stochastic and non-stochastic processes.

b. "chaos" has a specific meaning in non-linear systems which is not correctly captured by "no relationship between cause and effect".

c. a process can be "simple" and still be unpredictable. For example, simple non-linear systems can be chaotic.

Owen

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