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Le modèle de croissance par l’industrialisation : la fin d’un miracle ?

Vinaya Swaroop's picture
Also available in: English

L’ère des modèles de croissance tirés par l’industrialisation et les exportations manufacturières est-elle derrière nous ? Si l’on en croit Dani Rodrik, professeur à Harvard (a), ce serait effectivement le cas. Est-ce à dire que les pays d’Afrique, seul continent à ne pas avoir expérimenté ce type d’expansion rapide, sont voués à ne pas connaître les mêmes phénomènes de miracle économique dont ont bénéficié il n’y a encore pas longtemps les pays d’Asie de l’Est et, en particulier, la Chine ?

Growth miracles: Are they things of the past?

Vinaya Swaroop's picture
Also available in: Français

Is the era of industrialization and manufacturing exports growth miracles – a period of rapid economic growth exceeding expectations, last seen in East Asian countries, most notably in China – over? If you listen to Harvard’s Dani Rodrik, the answer seems to be: pretty much! Does that mean, Africa, the only continent which hasn’t seen rapid export-led manufacturing growth, would not have many growth miracle stories?

Régions pauvres. Régions riches. La géographie explique-t-elle tout ?

Nga Thi Viet Nguyen's picture
Also available in: English

« Dites-moi où vous vivez, et je vous dirai quelles sont vos chances de succès dans la vie. »
Le niveau de bien-être varie-t-il fortement d’une région à l’autre ?
Je ne suis pas devin, mais je sais que le lieu de résidence est le meilleur indicateur pour mesurer le bien-être futur d’un individu. Un enfant qui voit le jour au Togo aujourd’hui vivra probablement 20 ans de moins qu’un enfant né aux États-Unis. En outre, le Togolais gagnera nettement moins d’argent que l’Américain, le premier touchant moins de 3 % du revenu du second.

Poor places. Rich places. Can geography explain it all?

Nga Thi Viet Nguyen's picture
Also available in: Français

“Tell me where you live, and I can predict how well you’ll do in life.”
Does welfare vary largely across space?
Although I don’t have a crystal ball, I do know for a fact that location is an excellent predictor of one’s welfare. Indeed, a child born in Togo today is expected to live nearly 20 years less than a child born in the United States. Moreover, this child will earn a tiny fraction—less than 3%—of what his or her American counterpart will earn.

In Uganda, greater financial inclusion is the key to unlocking rapid growth

Rachel K. Sebudde's picture
Photo: Sarah Farhat/World Bank.

Ugandan’s access to financial services has improved dramatically in recent years. More than half of Uganda’s adult population now has access to an account at a formal financial institution. This is almost twice as many as in 2009. The entry and fast penetration of mobile money is the main reason for the increase, having allowed 8 million Ugandans to conduct financial transactions.

Will South Africa turn the corner in 2017?

Marek Hanusch's picture
Photo By: David Stanley/Flickr

The year 2016 was difficult for many countries. We estimate that global economic growth slowed from 2.7% in 2015 to 2.3% in 2016. High-income economies struggled with subdued growth and low inflation amidst increased uncertainty about policy direction in light of rising populism. Among emerging markets and developing economies, commodity exporters were most affected by the end of the commodity price boom, growing by only 0.3%—much in line with our estimate of 0.4% growth for South Africa, the lowest growth rate since the 2009 recession after the global financial crisis. By contrast, commodity importers carried the torch of global growth in 2016, expanding by 5.6%.

Innovative Africa for a better tomorrow

Teodoro De Jesus Xavier Poulson's picture
Despite a decade of strong growth, Sub-Saharan Africa still faces a number of social and economic challenges. These range from access to education, off-the-grid electricity, clean water, job creation and public infrastructure. While there is no silver bullet, one word is inspiring millions – innovation.

Créer des emplois de qualité pour les générations futures d’Ivoiriens

Jacques Morisset's picture
Also available in: English
La majorité de la population ivoirienne travaille, mais peine à trouver des emplois à des salaires convenables sur le long terme. Les Ivoiriens gagnent en moyenne 120 000 francs CFA, soit 200 dollars par mois, revenu inférieur à la moyenne du continent africain.

Firmin enchaîne les petits boulots. Vendeur de rue, menuisier, jardinier. Voilà deux ans qu'il est arrivé à Abidjan en provenance de son village natal avec l'aspiration d’intégrer l'École nationale de police d’Abidjan. Comme lui, des centaines de milliers de jeunes ivoiriens arrivent  chaque année sur le marché du travail. La Côte d’Ivoire compte aujourd'hui 14 millions de travailleurs et en aura 22 millions d’ici 10 ans. Il faudra leur offrir un emploi stable et un revenu décent. 

Creating Quality Jobs for Cote d’Ivoire’s Future Generations

Jacques Morisset's picture
Also available in: Français
Although most Ivorians are employed, they struggle to find jobs that provide decent sustainable incomes. An average worker earns 120,000 FCFA or $200 per month, which is lower than the average in Sub-Saharan Africa.

Firmin gets by doing small odd jobs. One day he is a street vendor, the next day a carpenter, and on other days he’s a gardener. He arrived in Abidjan two years ago with high hopes of joining the National Police Academy. His story resembles that of thousands of Ivorians who join the domestic workforce each year. Today, there are about 14 million people of age to work in the country, and by 2025, there will be approximately 22 million - all of whom seek a secure well-paying job. 

Ethiopia’s growth miracle: What will it take to sustain it?

Lars Christian Moller's picture

If you are curious to know which country has achieved double digit growth in the last 12 years, making it the fourth fastest-growing in the world, the answer is Ethiopia. And what is more striking is that if Ethiopia sustains its current pace of growth, it will become a middle income country by 2025.