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Submitted by Berk Ozler on
I was running code as I was reading through and only now saw your comment about replicability...I can at least now replicate the p= 0.058 with repeated commands using the same seed. Changing the seed (to 550) changed the p=0.059 with 1000 reps, so that's encouraging. Also, your Colombia example replicated perfectly...

Berk.