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The Nobel Prize for Economics will be announced on October 9. Greg Mankiw prompted a lively discussion on possible winners when he linked to Thomson Scientific's predictions:

  • Jagdish Bhagwati / Avinash Dixit / Paul Krugman
  • Dale Jorgenson
  • Oliver Hart / Bengt Holmstrom / Oliver Williamson

The Thomson Scientific readers' poll puts the first group ahead with 40% of the vote. Any armchair economists care to hazard a guess?

Update: And Ned Phelps is the winner!

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