Published on Africa Can End Poverty

Three challenges and three opportunities for food security in Eastern and Southern Africa

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Eastern and Southern Africa— home to over 656 million people, many of whom are poor and face significant challenges accessing adequate, safe, and nutritious food every day— has some of the most vulnerable food systems in the world.

The recently approved Food Systems Resilience Program for Eastern and Southern Africa will help tackle the underlying structural challenges of food insecurity and address the vulnerability to unpredictable shocks.

Madagascar, where 7.8 million people are facing food insecurity, and Ethiopia, where up to 22.7 million people are food insecure, will benefit from the first phase of the project. Both countries are experiencing historically severe droughts, exacerbated by climate change. 

The program directly responds to three food security challenges facing the region and taps into three opportunities to improve the resilience of food systems for stronger, healthier communities.

Three Challenges Facing Food Security

  1. Climate Shocks to Food Systems: Since 2019, extreme weather, conflict, and the COVID-19 pandemic have pushed nearly 50 million additional people into acute food insecurity across Sub-Saharan Africa. In addition, while climate-induced shocks to the food system used to occur one in every 12 years on average, they are now occurring about every 2.5 years. This is too frequent for countries, regions, or farms to sufficiently recover between the shocks, making investments in building food systems resilience key to enabling the region to respond to challenges more quickly and effectively.
  2. Global Price Shocks: Countries in Eastern and Southern Africa are also affected by global shocks to food systems— including volatility in commodity markets, increases in energy and fertilizer prices, trade disruptions, and the ongoing events unfolding in Ukraine. These shocks have led to steep increases in food prices throughout the region and increased food insecurity as families struggle to stretch their incomes. 
Food Price Inflation in Selected Eastern and Southern Africa Countries (Year-on-Year)
  1. Undernourishment: Food security is not just about famine or acute hunger, it is also about longer-term undernourishment that leads to poor health outcomes. Across Eastern and Southern Africa, the share of undernourished people is increasing, from 21% in 2019 to over 25% in 2020, with serious consequences for the health and wellbeing of people in the region. Madagascar faces chronic food insecurity and the highest malnutrition rates in Africa. Almost half of the country’s children under five are stunted, and about one-quarter of its population is undernourished. In Ethiopia, women and children are most affected, and an estimated 44% of children are stunted. Quite often, in crisis situations, it is dietary diversity that is being compromised first.
Prevalence of undernourishment in SSA by subregion, 2015?2019 with projections to 2030; Share of population with insufficient food consumption as of January 2022

Opportunities for Action

Despite challenging circumstances, enhancing the resilience of food systems in the Eastern and Southern Africa offers real opportunities to not only tackle food insecurity and ensure that everyone has enough to eat, but to also generate more jobs, promote trade, and enhance resilience.

  1. Jobs! The agricultural and food sector remains a significant source of economic growth and job creation, accounting for nearly 15% of the GDP of countries in Eastern and Southern Africa in 2020. As much as 59% of the region’s population was employed in agriculture in 2019, and in some countries, even larger shares were: 86% in Burundi, 80% in Somalia, 76% in Malawi, 70% in Mozambique, and 66% in Ethiopia and Zimbabwe. Enhancing the agricultural sector, therefore, has enormous potential to improve the incomes and opportunities of people across the region.  And when people have stable jobs, they are better able to cope with shocks without dipping into money needed for food.
  2. Trade! Demand for food products is expected to increase significantly over the coming decades as the population grows and cities expand. Presently, the food and beverages industry accounts for 38% of GDP in Eastern and Southern Africa. By 2050, the industry is expected to see an 800% increase in the value of food, and trade in processed foods could increase by up to 90%.  Moreover, increased trade doesn’t just expand business opportunities, it also helps stabilize food availability and access across the region.  When one country experiences a climate shock, for example the current drought in the Horn of Africa or the frequent cyclones that hit Madagascar, other countries can boost their exports to fill the gaps. 
  3. Resilience! There is significant potential to enhance agricultural productivity and climate resilience through innovation. In Eastern and Southern Africa, agricultural productivity could increase by up to 2–3 times if better farm inputs and production technologies are adopted, if water and soil resources were used more efficiently, and if natural capital and ecosystems were restored. Digital tools for monitoring climate risks can identify the onset of climatic shocks before they happen and facilitate responses for building resilience. Automated irrigation systems, soil sensors, and drones can boost efficiency in production.

World Bank Action

With these challenges and opportunities in mind, the Food Systems Resilience Program for Eastern and Southern Africa will provide a range of support, from restoring agricultural production capacity, to improving the management of natural resources, getting food to the consumers, and streamlining resilience in national and regional policymaking.

What other challenges or opportunities do you see? Let us know in the comments!


Authors

Holger Kray

Regional Manager for Agriculture and Food in Europe and Central Asia

Shobha Shetty

Global Director, Agriculture and Food, World Bank

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Luis Fernando Amaya Ortiz
I would love to follow updates on this blog in a regular basis. Resilient and sustainable food systems are key to trigger up develoonent in Southern Africa and also to tackle effects of Climate Change in the region.

I would love to follow updates on this blog in a regular basis. Resilient and sustainable food systems are key to trigger up develoonent in Southern Africa and also to tackle effects of Climate Change in the region.

Tendai Masamba
What are some of the technologies that small scale farmers could deploy in countries such as Zimbabwe to help improve productivity? Also what public funding is there to partner with private investment across from planting to processing?

What are some of the technologies that small scale farmers could deploy in countries such as Zimbabwe to help improve productivity? Also what public funding is there to partner with private investment across from planting to processing?

Mohamed Osama goda
Sub-Saharan Africa should benefit from the advanced agricultural expertise in North Africa, Egypt, Tunisia and Morocco, where acre productivity is higher than sub-Saharan Africa, in addition to capital in the Gulf through incentives for agricultural investment and broad trade integration.

Sub-Saharan Africa should benefit from the advanced agricultural expertise in North Africa, Egypt, Tunisia and Morocco, where acre productivity is higher than sub-Saharan Africa, in addition to capital in the Gulf through incentives for agricultural investment and broad trade integration.

Yomi ERIC NKWAD
We can help by encouraging backyard farming or small scale farming with crops of very short cycles etc

We can help by encouraging backyard farming or small scale farming with crops of very short cycles etc

Zulu Edward
Food security can be successfully achieved and implemented if we help small scale farmers in mechanization and supporting them not to only depend.on rain fed agriculture, but also irrigation. This can be done by coming up with agriculture schemes and cooperatives. Also by investing in agriculture extension services with support from government and donor communities.

Food security can be successfully achieved and implemented if we help small scale farmers in mechanization and supporting them not to only depend.on rain fed agriculture, but also irrigation. This can be done by coming up with agriculture schemes and cooperatives. Also by investing in agriculture extension services with support from government and donor communities.